Saturday, December 24, 2011

Nifty Weekly Outlook (26th -30th Dec)

Nifty Spot Closing Price @ 4714
Nifty Spot Supports @ 4630-4500
Nifty Spot Resistances @ 4840-4970


Last week Nifty recovered some ground from 4539 and closed at 4714. Recovery was more due to short covering from technical oversold zone. Next week would be last week for 2011 which was bad for investors as well as traders. For next week, Nifty spot has support @ 4630. If closes below then earlier low of 4540 possible. If Nifty spot holds 4630, Then recovery till 4840 and even 4930-5010 possible. Nifty to go beyond 4840 needs value buying which need to be seen in last week and early next year. One can Buy Contra longs with Strict SL and below 4630 spot closing avoid short term longs. Medium term is bearish below 5300 weekly spot closing. Short term is neutral. Bearish below 4630 & Bullish above 4840 spot closing. 4480-4380 is long term support.

Endless calls of 4200-4000 target and endless downgrades of India has already come though the lowered earnings of Sensex comes to 12,000-11,000. Long term investors don't need to panic at this junction. Long term investors will gain a lot if they HOLD or Buy quality fundamental scrips for 1-2 year time frame. Sensex is trading at attractive levels and many stocks are even trading at more attractive levels.


" Trade with Levels not with Hope "

Regards,
www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in


Monday, November 7, 2011

Nifty Weekly Outlook (08th -11th Nov)

Nifty Spot Closing Price @ 5284
Nifty Spot Supports @ 5187-5061
Nifty Spot Resistances @ 5371-5503


Last week market remained range bound between 5200-5350. Nifty spot made low around 5200 and recovered some ground and closed at 5284. Next week is expected to be volatile as it will have only 3 trading sessions as Monday and Thursday are holidays. Nifty spot index has strong support @ 5200-5180 zone and until and unless it holds, One can continue to hold long positions or/and Buy on Decline. Closing below 5187 spot for 2 days, Trend will become mild negative from neutral and next supports of 5061-4970 will come in picture. On upside 5330-5370 is stiff resistance zone which was formed by the 61.8% of the short term or immediate fall, 50% of the intermediate or medium term fall and 38.2% of the higher term time frame fall. Closing above 5371, next upside target could be around 5500 with trend reversal at 5200.

Short term is side-way with mild positive bias. Medium term is Bearish and long term is bullish and this is the time to accumulate fundamentally strong scrip's in systematic way for 1-2 year time-frame as this was ongoing consolidation and corrective phase for long term. Risk-Reward ratio for Buyer for long term investment is good. 




" Trade with Levels not with Hope "

Regards,
www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in


Sunday, October 2, 2011

Nifty Weekly Technical Analysis (03rd-07th Oct)

Nifty Spot Closing Price @ 4943
Nifty Spot Supports @ 4843-4720
Nifty Spot Resistances @ 5051-5170


Last week market continued with its downtrend and made another low on weekly basis. Nifty Spot made low of 4758 very close to crucial support of 4720. Although market recovered from 4758 to 5034 after Monday steep fall but it closed at 4943 due to profit booking. Technically, Market is still range-bound and sideways with no clear direction. On Downside, Strong supports stands at 4843-4720. On upside, immediate resistance stands at 5051. Closing above for 2 days, It will move towards 5121-5170-5238. As of now, Market is Buy on decline until and unless holds 4720 and Sell on highs until and unless fails to cross and closes above 5170.

Short term is side-way/neutral. Medium term is Bearish and long term is bullish and this is the time to accumulate fundamentally strong scrip's in systematic way for 1-2 year time-frame as this was ongoing consolidation and corrective phase for long term.


" Trade with Levels not with Hope "

Regards,

www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in


Sunday, September 18, 2011

Nifty Weekly Technical Analysis (19th-23rd Sept)


Nifty Spot Closing Price @ 5084
Nifty Spot Supports @ 4980-4865-4750
Nifty Spot Resistances @ 5180-5268-5400


We didn't posted Nifty Technical Analysis last week.

last week, Nifty recovered from 4900 levels and closed at 5084 after hitting high of 5143. Petrol price hike of Rs.3 per litre and a 25 bps hike in the interest rate has effected the upward momentum. For Next Week, Nifty is still in side-way zone between 4900-5180. As long as 4980 holds, Nifty can move upwards towards 5180-5268. Once Nifty Spot closes above 5268 for 2-3 days, Trend will change into Bullish and 5400 will come in picture. Below 4980, Next crucial support stands at 4900. Closing below 4900, Next target would be 4800-4750 zone.

Short term is side-way/neutral and medium term are Bearish and long term is bullish and this is the time to accumulate fundamentally strong scrip's in systematic way for 1-2 year time-frame as this was ongoing consolidation and corrective phase for long term.




" Trade with Levels not with Hope "

Regards,

www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in 







Saturday, September 3, 2011

Nifty Weekly Technical Analysis (05th-09th Sept)


Nifty Spot Closing Price @ 5040
Nifty Spot Supports @ 4970-4860-4720
Nifty Spot Resistances @ 5120-5250-5336




 
We didn't posted Nifty Technical Analysis for last 3 weeks due to technical reason.

For Next Week, Nifty is in neutral zone with negative bias. Overall, still weak and last week rally was pullback rally after big correction. Until and Unless Nifty Spot holds 4970, Chance of pullback till 5120-5250 is possible. 5220-50 will be strong resistance zone. There is 100 point gap between 5230 and 5330 which need to be filled for bullish trend. On Downside, Support stands at 4970-30. Closing below 4930. 4860-4800-4720 possible. On Upside, 1st resistance stands at 5120, Closing above 5220-5250 will come in picture. As per trading strategy, High risk trader can go long until 4970 Holds. Short term will be bullish only if closes above 5120 and then 5250 on closing basis.  Now, Both short term and medium term are Bearish and long term is bullish and this is the time to accumulate fundamentally strong scrip's in systematic way for 1-2 year time-frame as this was ongoing consolidation and corrective phase for long term.

" Trade with Levels not with Hope "


Regards,
www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in



Monday, August 15, 2011

Nifty Technical Analysis (16th-19th Aug)


Nifty Spot Closing Price @ 5073
Nifty Spot Supports @ 5000-4910
Nifty Spot Resistances @ 5180-5350


Last week in our Nifty technical analysis, We mentioned Nifty is Bearish below 5350 and 5130-5050-4970 possible. We said Bears will try to short on every rise. Nifty Hit below 4950 and closed at 5073. Nifty cracked big time due to S&P downgraded the US for the first time in 70 years

For Next week, Nifty is still in bearish zone below 5120. Next Supports stands at 5030-4970-4910. As long as Nifty trades below 5120, Trend will be bearish and last Monday low is possible. Closing Above 5180 for 2-3 days, then trend will become mild positive and it can move towards 5330-5400 zone. Now, Both short term and medium term are Bearish and long term is bullish and this is the time to accumulate fundamentally strong scrip's in systematic way for 1-2 year time-frame as this was ongoing consolidation and corrective phase for long term.


" Trade with Levels not with Hope "

Regards,

www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in



Sunday, August 7, 2011

Nifty Technical Analysis (08th - 12th Aug)


Nifty Spot Closing Price @ 5211
Nifty Spot Supports @ 5100-4970
Nifty Spot Resistances @ 5330-5450


Last week in our Nifty technical analysis, We mentioned Nifty is broadly in neutral and sideways zone between 5400-5700. Closing below 5370, Trend will change into bearish and June low 5256-5195 possible. The weakening financial and debt crisis in the US and Europe took a toll on our markets and Nifty hit 5116. Nifty spot closed at 5211.


For Next week, Nifty is in bearish mode. Next Nifty spot supports stands at 5130-5050-4970. Technically, Nifty is bearish below 5350. Until and Unless Nifty trades below 5350, Bears will try to short on every rise. Closing above 5350 trend will become mild positive and 5410-5470-5560 will come in picture. Now, Both short term and medium term are Bearish and long term is bullish and this is the time to accumulate fundamentally strong scrip's in systematic way for 1-2 year time-frame as this was ongoing consolidation and corrective phase for long term.



" Trade with Levels not with Hope "


Regards,
www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in



Sunday, July 31, 2011

Nifty Technical Analysis (01st-05th Aug)

Nifty Spot Closing Price @ 5482
Nifty Spot Supports @ 5400-5330
Nifty Spot Resistances @ 5560-5650



Last week in our Nifty technical analysis, We mentioned Nifty is mild bullish and closing above 5730 for 2 days, it could move towards 5800-5848. As expected the strong resistance zone mentioned last week proved to be too strong and the market reversed exactly from there due to unexpected 50bps interest rate hike by the RBI. Later, Market corrected and closed below crucial support of 5530.

For Next week, Nifty spot below 5530 next crucial support stands at 5410-5370. Technically, Nifty is in sideways zone between 5400-5700. Trend is broadly neutral now between 5400-5700. Closing above 5700 for 2-3 days, Trend will become bullish and next upside target could be 5800-5848-5930. Closing below 5370, trend would change into bearish and June low of 5256-5195 will come in picture.Short term and Medium Term are Neutral. Long term is Bullish and this is the time to accumulate fundamentally strong scrip's in systematic way for 1-2 year time-frame as this was ongoing consolidation and corrective phase for long term.

 
" Trade with Levels not with Hope "

Regards,
www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in



Saturday, July 23, 2011

Nifty Technical Analysis (25th-29th July)

Nifty Spot Closing Price @ 5634
Nifty Spot Supports @ 5530-5410
Nifty Spot Resistances @ 5730-5848


Last week in our Nifty technical analysis, We mentioned Nifty is neutral with further consolidation between 5500-5650 possible. On Upside Nifty spot has resistances at 5652 and Until and unless Nifty spot holds 5495 on closing basis, chance of pullback rally possible. Nifty recovered from key support of 5530-5495 and closed at 5634.

For Next weel, Nifty Spot Trend is mild Bullish until it holds 5530 on closing basis. On Upside Nifty spot has resistances at 5652 and then at 5717-5752.  If Nifty Spot closes above 5730 for 2 days, then it will move towards 5800-5848. One should continue to Hold Long positions or Buy on Decline with SL 5530 on closing basis. Closing Above 5730, Nifty will streghten its bulishness. On Downside, Nifty Spot has supports at 5530-5495. Closing below 5495, next supports of 5410-5355 will come in picture. Currently, Short term is Bullish Above 5495 spot closing. Medium Term is Neutral and will change into Bullish Above 5750. Long term is Bullish and we always mentioned to accumulate fundamentally strong scrip's in systematic way for 1-2 year time-frame as this was ongoing consolidation and corrective phase for long term.




" Trade with Levels not with Hope "

Regards,
www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in 




Sunday, July 17, 2011

Nifty Technical Analysis (18th-22nd July)

Nifty Spot Closing Price @ 5581
Nifty Spot Supports @ 5495-5410
Nifty Spot Resistances @ 5652-5750


Last week in our Nifty technical analysis, We mentioned Nifty Spot has crucial resistance of 200 DMA around 5750. Nifty is also overbought, Hence some consolidation possible around 5550-5750. If Nifty Spot closes above 5750 for 2 days, then it will move towards 5832-5945. On Downside, Crucial Support at 5600 and then at 5541. Nifty traded between 5530-5650 for most of the time.

For Next week, Trend is neutral with further consolidation between 5500-5650 possible. On Upside Nifty spot has resistances at 5652 and then 5750. If Nifty Spot closes above 5750 for 2 days, then all trend will change into Bullish and it will move towards 5832-5945 in short term. On Downside, Strong support at 5495 and 5410. Until and unless Nifty spot holds 5495 on closing basis, chance of pullback rally possible. Closing below 5450 trend will change into bearish and next supports of 5410-5355 will come in picture. Currently, Short term is Neutral Above 5500 spot closing. Medium Term is Neutral and will change into Bullish Above 5750. Long term is Bullish and we always mentioned to accumulate fundamentally strong scrip's in systematic way for 1-2 year time-frame as this was ongoing consolidation and corrective phase for long term.


" Trade with Levels not with Hope "

Regards,
www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in

Saturday, July 9, 2011

Nifty Technical Analysis (11th-15th July)


Nifty Spot Closing Price @ 5660
Nifty Spot Supports @ 5600-5541-5442
Nifty Spot Resistances @ 5750-5832-5945


Last week in our Nifty technical analysis, We mentioned Trend is Bullish but profit booking at higher level possible. Next Crucial resistances stands @ 5720-52. Above these levels, Nifty can move towards 5800-5871-5920. Nifty Spot failed to close above 5752 and finally closed @ 5660 on Friday. 

For Next Week, Nifty Spot has crucial resistance of 200 DMA around 5750. Nifty is also overbought, Hence some consolidation possible around 5550-5750. If Nifty Spot closes above 5750 for 2 days, then it will move towards 5832-5945. On Downside, Crucial Support at 5600 and then at 5541. Closing below 5541 trend will change into bearish. Currently, Short term is Bullish Above 5600 Spot closing. Medium Term is Neutral. Long term is Bullish and we always mentioned to accumulate fundamentally strong scrip's in systematic way for 1-2 year time-frame as this was ongoing consolidation and corrective phase for long term.


" Trade with Levels not with Hope "

Regards,

www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in






Sunday, July 3, 2011

Nifty Technical Analysis (04th-08th July)


Nifty Closing Price @ 5627
Nifty Supports @ 5520-5410
Nifty Resistances @ 5720-5871

Last week in our Nifty technical analysis, we mentioned Trend is Bullish with major Hurdle @ 5550-5610. Nifty continued to move upward from 5471 to 5705 while crossing hurdle of 5550-5610 and closed at 5627. For Next Week, Trend is still Bullish but profit booking at higher level possible. Next Crucial resistances stands @ 5720-52. Above these levels, Nifty can move towards 5800-5871-5920. On Downside, Strong supports at 5520 - 5458 - 5410. As long as 5520 holds, Trend will be Bullish. Closing below 5458 trend will change into bearish again. Medium Term is Neutral. Long term is Bullish and we always mentioned to accumulate fundamentally strong scrip's in systematic way for 1-2 year time-frame as this was ongoing consolidation and corrective phase for long term.


" Trade with Levels not with Hope "


 
Regards,

www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in



Saturday, June 25, 2011

Nifty Technical Analysis (27th June-1st July)


Nifty Closing Price @ 5471
Nifty Supports @ 5340-5252
Nifty Resistances @ 5600-5752


Last week in our Nifty technical analysis, we mentioned Trend is negative with support @ 5330-5280. Below 5280, it could move towards 5238-5177. Nifty made low 5195 after breaching all support of 5330-5280-5238 due to Mauritius treaty news. After making low @ 5195, Nifty recovered sharply and closed strongly @ 5471. Sharp recovery was mainly due to short covering and Value buying at lower level. For Next week, Trend is Bullish with major Hurdle @ 5550-5610. Above 5610, Next crucial resistances stands @ 5710-5752. On Downside 5340 will act as crucial support.  Now, Short term is bullish and Medium term is bearish below 200 DMA of 5752. Long term is bullish and this ongoing consolidation and corrective phase is long term time-wise correction only. Hence, One should accumulate fundamentally strong scrip's in systematic way for 1-2 year time-frame.


" Trade with Levels not with Hope "


Regards,
www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in 




Sunday, June 19, 2011

Nifty Weekly Technical Analysis (20th-24th June)

Nifty Closing Price @ 5366
Nifty Supports @ 5300-5177
Nifty Resistances @ 5470-5600


Last week in our Nifty weekly technical analysis, We mentioned that trend is still neutral with some negative bias. Trend can only be bullish if closes above 5600. Closing below 5451, Nifty will move towards 5370-5300. Nifty Hit 5355 on Friday. For Next week, Trend is negative as of now until nifty closes above resistance zone of 5470. Next immediate nifty supports stands @ 5330-5280. Below 5280, it could move towards Feb low of 5238-5177. On upside, near term resistance stands @ 5470. Closing above 5470 with good volume can move nifty towards 5530-5600 where major resistance will come in picture. Now, Both Short term is bearish and Medium term is bearish below 200 DMA of 5757. Long term is bullish and this ongoing consolidation and corrective phase is long term time-wise correction only. Hence, One should accumulate fundamentally strong scrip's in systematic way for 1-2 year time-frame.



" Trade with Levels not with Hope "

Regards,
www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in



Sunday, June 12, 2011

Nifty Weekly Technical Analysis (13th-17th June)


Nifty Closing Price @ 5486
Nifty Supports @ 5380-5256
Nifty Resistances @ 5600-5757
Nifty Trend Deciders @ 5402-5600



Last week in our Nifty weekly technical analysis, We mentioned that trend is still neutral and most the momentum indicators are mixed. closing below 5451 & Above 5600 will make Bearish and Bullish Trend respectively. Nifty Spot failed to close Above/Below 5600 and 5451. For next week, short term trend is still neutral with some negative bias. Trend will change into bullish only if closes above 5600 for at least 2 days with good volume. Above 5600, It can move towards 5652-5691-57357. On Downside immediate supports stands @ 5451-5420. Closing below these levels May support of 5370-5300 will come in picture. Hence, Short term is Neutral and Medium term is bearish now below 200 DMA of 5757. Long term is bullish and this ongoing consolidation and corrective phase is long term time-wise correction only. Hence, One should accumulate fundamentally strong scrip's in systematic way for 1-2 year time-frame.



" Trade with Levels not with Hope "



Regards,
www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in 




Sunday, June 5, 2011

Nifty Weekly Technical Analysis (06th-10th June)

Nifty Closing Price @ 5517
Nifty Supports @ 5451-5330
Nifty Resistances @ 5620-5757
Nifty Trend Deciders @ 5451-5610


Last week in our Nifty weekly technical analysis, We mentioned that trend is still neutral and closing below 5400 & Above 5610 will make Bearish and Bullish Trend respectively. Nifty Spot failed to close Above/Below 5610 & 5400. Although Nifty gives up weekly closing gain but trend is still neutral. For next week, Nifty will face stiff resistance @ 5600-5620 zone. Most of the technical momentum indicators are mixed. There are multiple resistances between 5600-5757. Once Nifty spot closes above 5600-20 zone, It can move towards 5652-5691-5738-5777. On Downside Strong Support @ 5451-5420. Closing below these levels May support of 5370-5300 will come in picture. As long as 5451-20 holds, Trend will be neutral. Medium term is bearish now below 200 DMA of 5757. Long term is bullish and this ongoing consolidation and corrective phase is long term time-wise correction only. Hence, One should accumulate fundamentally strong scrip's in systematic way for 1-2 year time-frame.



" Trade with Levels not with Hope "


Regards,
www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in




Saturday, May 28, 2011

Nifty Technical Analysis (30th May - 3rd June)

Nifty Closing Price @ 5476
Nifty Supports @ 5402-5330-5238
Nifty Resistances @ 5561-5620-5690


Last week in our Nifty technical Analysis, We mentioned that trend is still neutral and closing below 5400 & Above 5610 will make Bearish and Bullish Trend respectively. Nifty Spot hit 5328 after closing below 5400 and recovered the ground and closed at 5476 on Friday. As of now,Nifty is taking support at at crucial medium term trend-line. Trend is still Neutral. On Downside Multiple Supports @ 5402-5330. Trend will turn Bearish closing below 5380. As Long as 5402-5380 Holds, One can add contra longs with strict stop. On Upside, Major resistances @ 5530-5620. Nifty will slowly increase its bullishness while crossing many hurdles from 5530-5760. Medium term is bearish now below 200 DMA of 5760. Long term is bullish and this ongoing consolidation and corrective phase is long term time-wise correction only. Hence, One should accumulate fundamentally strong scrip's in systematic way for 1-2 year time-frame.



" Trade with Levels not with Hope "



Regards,
www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in 





Saturday, May 21, 2011

Nifty Technical Analysis (23rd - 27th May)


Nifty Closing Price @ 5486
Nifty Supports @ 5402-5305
Nifty Resistances @ 5610-5700



Last week in our Nifty technical Analysis, We mentioned that trend is neutral and market in sideways zone of 5450-5620. Closing Below 5470, Nifty will move towards levels of 5380-5300. Nifty made low @ 5401 with low volume and on Friday recovered some ground and closed @ 5486. Last week, Volume was very low and Nifty failed to move either side. For Next Week Nifty Technical Analysis, Nifty will face major stiff resistance between 5610-5700. Nifty will slowly strength its bullishness while crossing many hurdles from 5600 to 5755. Trend is neutral now. As long as 5400-5380 Holds, One can Add Contra longs with strict stop. Trend will become bearish below 5400-5380 Closing and then 5300 and more lower levels will come in picture. Medium term is bearish now below 200 DMA of 5755. Long term is bullish and this ongoing consolidation and corrective phase is long term time-wise correction only. Hence, One should accumulate fundamentally strong scrip's in systematic way for 1-2 year time-frame.



" Trade with Levels not with Hope "


Regards,
www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in



Saturday, May 14, 2011

Nifty Technical Analysis (16th - 20th May)

Nifty Closing Price @ 5545
Nifty Supports @ 5470-5380-5300
Nifty Resistances @ 5620-5690-5784
Nifty Trend Decider @ 5450-5620

Last week in our Nifty technical Analysis, We mentioned trend is neutral and market in sideways zone of 5450-5620. Nifty made Low @ 5472 & High @ 5605. For Next week, On Downside Nifty has support @ 5470-40. Closing below, it will move towards 5380-5300. As long as 5470 holds, chances of crossing 5620 on closing basis is possible. Once crosses 5620, then next stiff resistances @ 5690-5750. Trend is still neutral and decisive closing above/below 5470-40 and 5620 will decide further movement. Medium term is bearish now below 200 DMA of 5750.  Long term is bullish and this ongoing consolidation and corrective phase is long term time-wise correction only. Hence, One should accumulate fundamentally strong scrip's in systematic way for 1-2 year time-frame.


" Trade with Levels not with Hope "



Regards,


www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in



Saturday, May 7, 2011

Nifty Weekly Analysis (09th - 13th May)

Nifty Closing Price @ 5551
Nifty Supports @ 5470-5380-5300
Nifty Resistances @ 5620-5690-5784
Nifty Trend Decider @ 5450-5620



Last week in our Nifty weekly analysis, We mentioned 5720-5690 is crucial support. Closing below, Nifty can drift towards 5620-5560. Nifty made low at 5444 & on Friday recovered some ground & closed at 5551 due to sharp correction in commodity prices. Last week Nifty weekly Support of 5690-5720 will act as stiff resistance for next week. Closing above 5690-5720, Nifty will move towards 5810-5930. On Downside, Nifty has support @ 5450 then 5370-5300. Trend for short term is Neutral from bearish due to sharp pullback rally on Friday. Bullish/Bearish Above/Below 5620/5450 on Closing basis. Medium term is bearish now below 5700. Long term is bullish and this ongoing consolidation and corrective phase is long term time-wise correction only. Hence, One should accumulate fundamentally sound scrips in systematic way for 1-2 year time-frame.



" Trade with Levels not with Hope "


Regards,
www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in 













Saturday, April 30, 2011

Nifty Technical Analysis (02nd - 06th May)

Nifty closing price @ 5750
Nifty support levels @ 5690-5560
Nifty resistance levels @ 5920-6040


Last week in our Nifty Technical Analysis, We mentioned Nifty is expected to trade in range of 5750-5950. Nifty consolidated @ 5820-5900 for 1st 2 days and later nifty corrected and closed around 5750 which is 200 DMA also. Nifty still trading in range of 5720-5920 for last few weeks. For Next week, 5720-5690 is crucial support. Closing below 5690, Nifty can drift towards 5620-5560. On Upside, Strong resistance @ 5910-5950. Nifty failed to cross 5920-50 in multiple attempt. Closing Above 5920-50, Nifty will move towards 6040-6100. Short term neutral. Bearish below 5690 & Bullish Above 5820 Spot Closing. Medium Term & Long Term still Bullish.


" Trade with Levels not with Hope "


Regards,

www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in



Friday, April 22, 2011

Nifty Positional Trading Strategy (25th-29th Apr)

Nifty closing price @ 5885
Nifty support levels @ 5800-5690
Nifty resistance levels @ 5955-6040


Last Week in our Nifty positional trading strategy, we mentioned Nifty spot is expected to trade in consolidation phase of 5750-5950 on closing basis. Nifty still trading in narrow range of +/- 2% (5800). Although Nifty spot managed to close 63 point higher from previous week. For Next week, Nifty will face major hurdle @ 5930-5970. Once Crosses 5930-5970 with volume, Next Technical target would be 6040+. On Downside, It has Strong Support @ 5730-5680. Trend has changed to little bullish from neutral. Its Buy on Decline for short term until Nifty trades above 5730 on closing basis. Bullish Strength will increase once closes above 5730-5970. Next week, Volatility will increase due to expiry week. Medium term bullish above 5600 and Long term is Bullish since last 2 years and we always mentioned to Buy in Systematic way at lower level 5200-5400 as this was Bull market correction not bear market correction.


" Trade with Levels not with Hope "



Regards,
www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in 









Jain Irrigation – A Rural and Agriculture Play

Jain Irrigation – A Rural and Agriculture Play

Saturday, April 16, 2011

Nifty Future trading strategy (18th - 21st April)

Nifty Future closing price @ 5834
Nifty Future Supports @ 5750-5690-5600
Nifty Future Resistances @ 5890-5960-6051

Last Week in our Nifty future trading strategy, we mentioned Nifty is expected to trade in consolidation phase of 5750-5950. Nifty Failed to breach crucial support / resistance and traded in range of 5750-5950. Next week, 5750 and 5950 will act as trend decider. If Nifty future closes and sustain above 5960 then 6051-6120 possible. On Downside, Closing below 5750 then 5690-5600 will come in picture. Overall short term is neutral in range of 5750-5950.Although there is some negative divergence on the chart but trend is still not bearish. Below/Above range will increase so the trend. Medium term bullish above 5600 and Long term is Bullish since last 2 years and we always mentioned to Buy in Systematic way at lower level 5200-5400 as this was Bull market correction not bear market correction.


" Trade with Levels not with Hope "



Regards,

www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in





Saturday, April 9, 2011

Nifty Prediction (11th - 15th April)

Nifty Spot Closed @ 5842
Support @ 5740-5620
Resistances @ 5945-6040
Trend Decider @ 5740 / 5945


Last week in our weekly nifty prediction, we mentioned Nifty is expected to be in consolidation phase. Once crosses minor hurdle @ 5878 it will reach 5920-50 which will be major hurdle. Nifty Spot Made high 5944+ after crossing small hurdle of 5878 and most of the time Nifty was in consolidation phase. For Next week, which has only 3 trading sessions is expected to be in almost same phase. Nifty has major resistances @ 5940-70. Once Nifty able to close above for 2 days, it will move towards 6040-6100. On Downside, it will find multiple support @ 5800-5750-5690. Most likely, Nifty will trade in range of 5750-5950. Any side break can increase the range. Overall market is bullish Above 5700. Hence, Its Buy on Decline. Medium Term is Bullish Above 5500. Long term is Bullish since last 2 years and we always mentioned to Buy in Systematic way at lower level 5200-5400 as this was Bull market correction not bear market correction..


" Trade with Levels not with Hope "




Friday, April 1, 2011

Nifty View (04th - 08th Apr)

Nifty Spot Closed @ 5826
Nifty Spot Supports @ 5702-5580
Nifty Spot Resistances @ 5920-6040
Strong/Weak Above/Below 5702

Last week in Nifty View, We mentioned Nifty is Bullish Above 5560 with Hurdle @ 5691. Nifty Again Crossed all Hurdle of 5691-5750-5801 & Closed Above 5800. After 500 Up-Move on Nifty, One can expect some consolidation. Nifty Spot has minor hurdle @ 5878. Once Nifty Crosses 5878 then major Hurdle @ 5920-50. Earlier 200 SMA of 5690-5700 was major resistance which will now act as major support for short term. Once Nifty Closes below 5702, then Trend will change to little bearish and 5620-5560 Possible. Overall  Market is Bullish Above 5702 and any decline is Buying opportunity and time to Hold earlier longs with trailing SL. Stock specific action specially in Mid/Small cap will be in  more limelight due to big valuation difference compare with Front liner. Long term is Bullish since last 2 years and we always mentioned in our Nifty View to Buy in Systematic way at lower level 5200-5400 as this was Bull market correction not bear market correction.


" Trade with Levels not with Hope "



Regards,

www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in









Saturday, March 26, 2011

Nifty Outlook (28th Mar - 1st Apr)

Nifty Spot Closed @ 5654
Nifty Spot Supports @ 5560-5465
Nifty Spot Resistances @ 5700-5812
Strong/Weak Above/Below 5560

Last week, Nifty crossed all resistance and closed @ 5654. Japan issue is settled as nuclear came under control. Most of the Negative News flows were already in price and after consolidation for over 6 weeks, Nifty reacted in positive way. For Next Week, Nifty will face Hurdle @ 200 SMA which is 5688 and above 5750-5812. Now earlier crucial resistance  of 5560-10 will act as short term support. At higher level of 5688-5750, there could be some profit booking. Its time to HOLD Longs with trailing SL of 5560-10 or Buy on Decline with SL 5560-10.  Closing below 5510, trend will change to Neutral from bullish. Long term is Bullish since last 2 years and we always mentioned to Buy in Systematic way at lower level 5200-5400 as this was Bull market correction not bear market correction.


" Trade with Levels not with Hope "



Regards,
www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in








Saturday, March 12, 2011

VOLTAS – A Value Pick in Consumer Story through Engineering

VOLTAS – A Value Pick in Consumer Story through Engineering

http://equityahead.in/voltas-a-value-pick-in-consumer-story-through-engineering/

Nifty Views (14th - 18th Mar)

Nifty Spot Closed @ 5445
Nifty Spot Supports @ 5400-5340-5222
Nifty Spot Resistances @ 5561-5630-5750
Strong/Weak Above/Below 5410

last week, Nifty traded in narrow range of 5410-5560 due to lack of news-flow & low institutional participation. Technically, market is still in sideways zone & break of this range with volume will increase the range & momentum. Nifty Spot has strong support of 5410-5370. Closing below 5370, It will move towards 5278-22. On upside It has big resistance @ 5560-5600 where lots of profit booking and fresh short is visible. Once Nifty Crosses & Sustain Above 5600 and then 5675 then short covering & fresh buying can emerge which can lead to 5750-5800 zone. For trading prospective, Its BUY on decline & Sell on rally in the range of 5410-5380 to 5560-5600. Short term is Neutral & Medium term is still bearish below 5600 zone. Long term is Bullish since last 2 years and we always mentioned to Buy in Systematic way at lower level as this was Bull market correction not bear market correction.


" Trade with Levels not with Hope "




Regards,
www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in



Sunday, March 6, 2011

Friday, March 4, 2011

Sensex Prediction (07th - 11th March)


Sensex Closed @ 18,486
Supports @ 18,300 - 17,960 - 17,694
Resistances @ 18,750 - 19,002 - 19,361

last week we mentioned If Nifty Holds 5220, then market can see pullback till 5410-5560-5640. Nifty Hit 5608+ in just 4 Days. After Sharp recovery across the board Sensex managed to close just below 200 DEMA. Now Major Hurdle Stands close to 18,700 (+/- 0.5%) which is very crucial on technical terms. Its 200 DEMA, 50 DEMA, medium term Support and also important point from where Sensex recovered 2 times and also came down 2 times sharply. Once Sensex Sustains Above 18,700 on closing basis for 2 days, It will move towards 19,000-19,361. Overall Short term Trend is Bullish until & Unless Sensex trades Above 18,210. Closing below 18,210 short term trend will turn to negative and 17,960-17,694 possible. Medium term is Bullish / Bearish Above / Below 18,700. Long term is Bullish since last 2 years and we always mentioned to Buy in Systematic way at lower level as this was Bull market correction not bear market correction.



" Trade with Levels not with Hope "


Regards,
www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in




Friday, February 25, 2011

Nifty Prediction (28st Feb - 04th Mar)

Nifty Spot Closed @ 5304
Nifty Spot Supports @ 5220-5100
Nifty Future Resistances @ 5410-5560
Strong/Weak Above/Below 5340

last week, Nifty was extremely volatile with range of 300 points. Nifty made short term bottom few days back @ 5177 but fresh sell-off came due to spike in Crude Oil due to instability in Middle-east. Currently, Nifty is in Complete bearish mode with major Support @ 5220-5180. On Monday, we will have Budget. Hence, Volatility is expected to be there. If Nifty Holds 5220-5180 on Closing basis, then it will be double bottom which can create a Pullback rally till 5410-5560-5640. If Nifty closes below 5200, then it will move towards next technical support @ 5120-5050. Traders should use 5220 for going long/short.  Short term & Medium term is bearish But Long Term is still bullish and this correction is 20 Month bull market correction not bear market correction. Hence, Long term Investors should Buy in Staggered manner.



" Trade with Levels not with Hope "

Regards,
www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in 



 

Are we in Bull Market or Bear Market ?

Are we in Bull Market or Bear Market ?

Saturday, February 19, 2011

Nifty Future Prediction (21st - 25th Feb)


Nifty Future closing price @ 5454
Nifty Future Supports @ 5380-5300-5220
Nifty Future Resistances @ 5510-5620-5700
Strong/Weak Above/Below 5410

last week, Nifty recovered from extremely oversold territory. On Friday, Due to some profit booking, It lost some ground. Currently, Nifty is slightly Bullish with major Hurdle @ 5560 & 5635 (200 DMA). On Downside intermediate support @ 5410-5350. Until & Unless Nifty manages to Close above 5635 for 2 days, Most likely Nifty will trade in region of 5350-5635 for next week. Closing below 5380, Trend will change to bearish and 5277-20 will come to picture. This is also Expiry week and Budget is round the corner which will make market volatile. Many beaten down Small/Mid cap recovered some ground by Value buying & Some short covering. As we said many times in last few weeks, Long Term is still bullish and this correction is 20 Month bull market correction not bear market correction.



" Trade with Levels not with Hope "



Regards,
www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in








Saturday, February 12, 2011

Nifty Views ( 14th - 18th Feb )

 Nifty Closed @ 5,310
Supports @ 5220-5120-5050
Resistances @ 5380-5440-5555
Trend Decider @ 5380 & 5180
Strong/Weak Above/Below 5380

Nifty still trading in bearish mode with crucial strong support @ 5220-5168. Last week, Nifty broke crucial support of 5440-5350 & made low around 5180. The correction was severe specially in Mid/Small cap and Infrastructure stocks. Small/Mid Cap made new 52 week low. Most of the momentum oscillator are extremely oversold & OI indicates lots of Shorts in the system. Until & Unless Nifty Spot Holds 5200 on closing basis, Chances of Pullback is quite high. Nifty Bullish only if closes above 5380 for a week. Closing below 5200 Nifty will move towards 5120-5050-5000.  Long Term is still bullish and this correction is 20 Month bull market correction.





~ Trade with Levels not with Hope




Regards,
www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in


Saturday, February 5, 2011

Nifty Future Views (07th - 11th Feb)

Nifty Future Closed @ 5387
Nifty Future Supports @ 5330-5220-5100
Nifty Future Resistances @ 5470-5575-5650
Nifty Future Strong Above 5540 & Weak Below 5410

Nifty Future continues to make new low by breaching crucial supports. Nifty future trading @ extremely short term bearish phase. Now, It standing near medium term support @ 5350-20. Technically, It can bounce sharply till 5570-5650 if holds 5350 on closing basis. Closing below 5350, It could move towards Next supports @ 5220-5100. One Should think of adding Long/Short as per Crucial Trend decider of 5350 on closing basis. Trend will change to bullish only if closes above 5640 for 2/3 days. Long term outlook remains bullish and this correction is 20 Month Bull market correction not bear market correction. Long term Investors should accumulate Fundamentally Strong Scrips with 1 year time-frame in parts as risk-reward is fruitful in long run.


" Trade with Levels not with Hope "



Regards,
www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in








Saturday, January 29, 2011

Nifty future trading strategies (31st Jan - 04th Feb)

Nifty Future Closed @ 5536
Nifty Future Supports @ 5430-5350
Nifty Future Resistances @ 5640-5755
Nifty Future Strong Above 5640 & Weak Below 5480

last week, Nifty Future broke all crucial Supports and closed below 200 DMA which makes bearish chart pattern. Technically Nifty Future is extremely weak but oversold. But Oversold phase can be longer than anticipated in trending range. Nifty Future trading strategies should be based on Crucial levels rather than Hope. Nifty Future medium term Supports Stands @ 5470-5350 which is vital for medium term market trend. 5430-5350 is importance support levels from where Pullback possible till 5755-5840 if holds 5430-5350. Closing Below 5350, Next Support Stands @ 5240-5120. One should add some longs and cut shorts on trend reversal or if 5430-5350 Holds. Trend will change to bullish only if closes below 5640. Long term outlook remains bullish and this correction is 20 Month Bull market correction not bear market correction. Long term Investors should accumulate Fundamentally Strong Scrips with 1 year time-frame in parts as risk-reward is fruitful in long run.



" Trade with Levels not with Hope "



Regards,

www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in





Friday, January 21, 2011

Nifty Future Outlook (24th - 28th Jan)

Nifty Future Closed @ 5700
Nifty Future Supports @ 5620-5540
Nifty Future Resistances @ 5760-5875
Nifty Future Strong Above 5760 & Weak Below 5620

This Week Nifty Future was in consolidation phase. For entire Week, Nifty Future Moved in Range of 5630-5755. For Next Week, 5630 will act as strong support. In Addition 5612 is crucial 200 DMA Support for Nifty Spot. Below 5612, Nifty Future will move towards 5550-10 which was break-out level in September above which Nifty Future made High of 6330+ on Diwali. This week, Nifty Future managed to close in Green. Above 5760 momentum will increase and short covering possible which can take Nifty Future towards 5830-75. Next Week which has 4 trading day is expected to be Volatile due to Expiry Week, RBI meeting and Earning session. Last week, Nifty Future set-up changed to neutral to slightly bullish from bearish zone. Risk-reward is in favor of Bulls until and unless 5630-12 Holds. Closing Above 5760, It will be Bullish and Closing below 5630-12, It will be bearish. Trade as per with Strict Stoploss. Long Term Support @ 5550-5350 & Still Bullish & Long term Investors should start accumulating Fundamentally Strong Scrips with 1 year time-frame in parts without thinking too much about next week or next month.


" Trade with Levels not with Hope "


Regards,
www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in



Saturday, January 15, 2011

Nifty Views (17th Jan - 21st Jan)

Nifty Spot Closed @ 5654
Supports @ 5540-5370
Resistances @ 5840-6030

Last Week we mentioned, Nifty is Bearish for short term below 5970 and makes downside target of 5830-5700 if Fails to cross 5970. This week, Nifty broke Strong short term triple bottom support of 5700 with huge volatility and clearly in bearish zone. Nifty created a good base @ 5350-5540 before moving towards 6240 in Sept which will act as strong support in near term. In Addition, 200 DMA which Stands @ 5604 will be closely watched. Nifty Spot Strong/Weak Above/Below 5840. Most of the oscillator Indicators are oversold which indicates some short covering. It was the interesting week for the share market not from the point of view of its correction but from the point of view of volatility. Now Strong Resistance @ 5840-6030 & Strong Support @ 5540-5370. Fresh Buying & Selling will come near Support / Resistance or @ Trend reversal. Traders should trade in less quantity as per level due to high volatility. Medium term Support @5540-5370 crucial for medium term Investors. Long Term Still Bullish.


" Trade with Levels not with Hope "


Regards,
www.equityahead.comwww.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in



Saturday, January 8, 2011

Nifty Prediction (10th Jan - 15th Jan)

Nifty Spot Closed @ 5904
Supports @ 5830-5700
Resistances @ 6040-6175

We have been bullish since last 1 month from 5750 levels. Nifty Spot Hit 5950-6050 and finally 6180 Above 6050 & Finally a sell-off came once it failed to cross resistance zone of 6175-6202. Now Nifty closed below 5970 which makes short term bearish. On Downside, Nifty Spot will find Support @ 5830-5700 & on Upside Once crosses 5950-6020, Short covering will come. Its Bullish/Bearish Above/Below 5970 Spot Closing. Overall, Nifty in range of 5700-6300 for last 4 Months which makes BUY on Decline & Sell on High in trading market. Bank Nifty Support @ 10,810 which is 200 DMA which will help PullBack/Break 5%-10%. Rising Inflation & Interest Rate concern mostly priced. In Next 2/3 Months, when Negative will come in Banking, It will react positively. As the year 2011 started, most of the stock market participants are again bearish and talking more about concerns rather than positive outlook same like 2009 & 2010, Hence Equity looks to surprise on upside this year too.




" Trade with Levels not with Hope "



Regards,

www.equityahead.com
www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.in



Friday, January 7, 2011

Multibagger stocks for 2011 in india


2010 is over now and Stock market participants are looking here and there for Multibagger stocks for 2011 in India. Everyone who is involved in Indian stock market by any mean has dream to pick Multibagger stocks for 2011. Various Analysts, Brokerage & Equity firm has started giving their Multibagger stocks for 2011-2012 in India.


Before going to 2011, let see what happened in 2010. Besides throwing some light on Multibagger stocks for 2011 and 2012 in India, Let see what happened with broad Market. Nifty started the year with 5,200 and closed around 6100+. There was 3 Correction, 1st in Jan-Feb, 2nd in Apr-May and 3rd in Nov-Dec in 2010. Interesting thing to observe is that all 3 Correction was around 11% from its earlier peak and duration was also approx for 6 Weeks. Now what it indicates, it tells we are in long run secular bull market where we will have 10%-15% bull market correction in every few months. If my Wave counting is right, then we are in Wave 3 which means Nifty Target of 9,200. This wave 3 was started around 2500 in March, 09 and makes target of 8,000-9,200 in next 2/3 years. Hence, Long term outlook remains bullish and many Multibagger stocks for 2011 and 2012 in India will emerge in future. Since, this is Wave 3 which means Bull Run will be based on macro-economic conditions and stocks will rally based on earnings and based on strong growth story. Remember, In Wave 1, 80% Stocks do well but in Wave 3, Only 50% stocks performs. Hence, Stock Selection is very crucial and not easy for good return.



Now Talking about 2011 Stock Market Outlook.

As of Now, medium to Long term is still Bullish. Nifty has Strong Support @ 5690 then 200 DMA stands @ 5590 and then 5350. Hence, 5590-5350 will act as Strong Support for long term bull Market. If Nifty closes below 5350 then this Bull Market will be in Danger and 5120-4800 will come in picture. On Upside 6300-57 will be most crucial stiff resistance. Nifty Spot has made Double top @ 6330. 1st Top @ Jan, 2008 then 2nd Top @ Nov, 2010. Once Double top is taken out on weekly closes, then Sharp upside expected northward and later on it can act as strong short term Support and 5700 as medium term support too. Most of the stock market participants have started saying of 20% correction in 1st half and rally of 20%-30% in 2nd half. Is it possible?? May be or maybe not. Although, Correction is always healthy for Good Bull market in order to BUY Multibagger stocks for 2011 and 2012. But still what I know is one can't buy @ Bottom and Sell on High. Hence, Follow Systematic Investment. Choose 5-10 Good business and invest every month and earn better return than any other asset class. When one will see market and its portfolio after 3 years, then 6,000 or 5,300 will not make big difference.  I do not care what street talks about it what I care more is best stock selection specially Multibagger Stocks in systematic way. Easy and works fine.


Multibagger Stocks for 2011 & 2012 Selections

 

One can follow 7 general rules for better risk-reward while selecting Multibagger Stocks for 2011-2012.

1) Avoid Large Caps with PE 30+ in any Sector
2) Buy Stocks with PE below 15 in Realty, Infra, Tea, Fertliser, Civil Aviation, Domestic Consumption, Education, Mid-Small Cap IT Companies, New Innovative theme with less debt and strong visible growth for 2 Years+ in systematic order.
3) Avoid all stocks which has come in the horizon of IB where promoters and Operators nexus is exposed.
4) Avoid Mid and Small cap where PE is above 20 in any sector.
5) Buy Multibagger Stocks in strong growth trajectory and economy driven irrespective of the fact there are no operators.
6) BUY Good Business not Good Stocks. Good Business always surprises on Upside but Good Stocks only Give " Feel Good Factor " not Capital Appreciations all the time.
7) AVOID Timing the market. If you think, you can buy your favorite stock @ Rock Bottom Price in next big correction. Then Think again, if anyone can buy stock @ bottom price. Then everyone bought till neck in early 2009 and by this time everyone would have become millionaire and must be spending long holiday in Las Vegas :). When Nifty was 2,600, everyone was saying 2,000, @ 3,100 everyone was saying 2,600, @ 3,700 everyone was saying 3,100, @ 4,300 everyone was saying 3,700, @ 4,800 everyone was saying 4,300 and @ 5,400 everyone was saying @ 4,800 and now @ 6,000 everyone is saying 5,400 Time is more important than timing. Wait to increase your allocation when your stock corrects not to start investing. Correction will always come, but that should be time to increase equity exposure not to start, Otherwise one will become Speculator rather than Investor.



Which specific Stock to BUY for 2 year perspective??


The answer depends on one's risk appetite and your financial Goal. If one is looking to earn better return than any other asset class. Then there are many Good stock picks. Few of the stock picks are YES BANK, SELAN EXPLORATION, BOMBAY DYEING, RELIANCE, GITANJALI GEMS, GODREJ INDUSTRY, CAIRNS INDIA, CHAMBAL FERTLISER, BAJAJ-AUTO AND BHEL. One Can BUY these 10 stocks with Monthly Systematic way and expects 50% Return in Next 2 Years. If you only want to start Investing @ 5,400 then i can tell, you will be never able to invest because @ 5,400 as when if 5,400 comes gain I will be observing of people saying of 4,500.  If one is looking for Multibagger Stocks for 2011 in India, Then Subscribe Multibagger Plus of equityahead.net. As Multibagger stocks are not BUY & FORGET thing, We need to Observe, analysis and Update the Scrip performance, Earning, Market outlook, News, acquisition & expansions and various news to get 300% return. After 2 Years, I will be publishing Performance of Multibagger Stocks here and then one can realise what one missed. I can say to Invest now, but after 2 years, i might not say in same confidence as market might have reached @ level where multibagger stocks will be hard to find. Think, Decide & Implement.



Thanks & Regards,


www.equityahead.net
www.equityahead.com